Course description

SHANTAI : Strategi Mengangkap Pisau Jatuh


SHANTAI : Sharing Bareng T.R.A.I.L 251028


Biasanya menangkap pisau jatuh atau membeli saham (atau aset) yang sedang turun dalam dapat menggunakan indikator Bollinger Band yaitu ketika harga aset berada di bawah Lower Band. Kami menyebutnya sebagai Undershoot.


Namun ketika dalam kondisi Undershoot, harga aset tersebut, selain berada di bawah Lower Band, juga berada di bawah Middle Band yang merupakan SMA 20. Karena berada di bawah MA maka dapat dikatakan cenderung Downtrend - yang which is kurang bagus untuk dibeli.


Kami usul untuk menambahkan SMA 60 dan SMA 200. Apabila suatu aset dalam kondisi Undershoot namun masih berada di atas SMA 60 (berarti masih Uptrend Jangka Menengah) atau di atas SMA 200 (masih Uptrend Jangka Panjang), maka aset tersebut masih menarik.


Berdasarkan Screening ala T.R.A.I.L per harga 27 Oktober 2025, saham yang menarik di beli adalah ENRG dan OMED.


Namun ada beberapa metode Analisis Teknikal Klasik untuk menangkap pisau jatuh yaitu beli pada kondisi Throwback atau pada saat Technical Correction (kami tampilkan contoh pada saham - saham Prajogo Pangestu).


Metode - metode ini kami ajarkan pada kursus T.R.A.I.L khususnya Analisis Teknikal Komprehensif dalam paket kursus TA4MI. Belajar yuk. Cek website kami ya.

What will i learn?

Requirements

MMD

“Investment Composer” for 13+ multi-asset global and domestic unit-linked funds. Holder of CFTe (with an award), FMVA®, FPWMP®. Polyglot (with R native) for time series analysis and other ML algorithms and stuff.

The Investment Composer I am a Technical Analyst at heart with a deep obsession for understanding the "why" behind market moves. I see technical analysis as the footprint of fundamental and economic forces, and my goal is to decode those prints to anticipate where the herd is moving next. To stay ahead, I keep a tight loop with fund managers, analysts, and institutional leaders, constantly filtering the noise of news and research into actionable tactical asset allocation. In my current role as an Investment Composer, I manage a multi-trillion rupiah portfolio, overseeing 13 Unit Link funds (more to come), including USD and SGD global funds. I’m particularly proud that in 2025, the IDR Equity Fund I fully manage outperformed the traditional active flagship, helping stabilize and grow our total AUM from IDR 3.0T to 3.1T. Beyond the numbers, I act as a bridge for the organization, translating market themes into strategies for a network of 400 Wealth Managers and Financial Analysts. Since 2019, I’ve been evolving my toolkit by diving into Data Science. Most nights, you’ll find me in my "lab" (converting R code to Python in Positron) refining time series models to forecast stock and bond prices. I’m a firm believer that the intersection of traditional technical expertise and machine learning is where the most significant market edges are found. I am an investment professional defined by "Strategic Depth," combining a Scorpio Sun’s relentless pursuit of market truths with a Pisces Rising’s intuitive leadership. I don't just follow narratives; I use advanced quantitative analysis to uncover the philosophical and data-driven core of every asset, ensuring my strategies are built on conviction rather than consensus. As an Enneagram Type 6 (Loyalist), my priority is institutional resilience. I practice "Strategic Prudence" by building robust contingency plans into every portfolio, utilizing my technical expertise to guard against volatility. My commitment is to provide the stable, high-conviction leadership necessary to protect and grow policyholder wealth in a complex global market. Outside the charts, my world revolves around my two kids. To keep my own balance, I’ve recently taken up golf (and am enjoying the challenge tremendously!). Whether I’m teaching the next generation of investors through my writing or studying code, I’m always looking for that deeper philosophical truth in the numbers—aiming for a life that is Sehat, Kaya, dan Bahagia (SK Bahagia, the slogan of T.R.A.I.L Investment).

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